Crappy guesswork

I have heard it in a film one time, but lately made a view little experiences that confirm this:

At the beginning of a disaster there is always crappy guesswork.

So remember to

• Stick with the facts.
• Do well the analysis.
• Detect the weak points in your concepts.
• Listen rather than persuading others with your opinion.
• Before making an assumption think twice whether it is really needed or probably better to find out by investigating or asking people.

Related posts: Detect the weak point, The mismatch problem, Information and Experience, Plan to get fear done, Peoples history.